Tax aggressiveness: the role of political-economic uncertainty and the moderating effect of the credit market in Brazilian companies listed on B³

Authors

  • Karina Borges de Almeida Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo - UFES
  • Rafael de Lacerda Moreira Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo - UFES https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9963-0114

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17524/repec.v19.e3577

Keywords:

Planejamento tributário, Agressividade fiscal, Incerteza político-econômica, Mercado de crédito

Abstract

Objective: This study analyzes the tax aggressiveness of Brazilian non-financial public companies in conditions of political-economic uncertainty and under the influence of the credit market.

Method: This study uses quantitative approach. The sample consists of 4,749 observations over 2011-2022. As metrics of political-economic uncertainty, two indices were used at the Brazilian level: the EPU and the IIE-Br. For tax aggressiveness, the variables used were ETR, BTD and CTRIB-DVA, Permanent BTD and Differential ETR. As for the credit market, the metric used was the “Quarterly Survey of Credit Conditions in Brazil” indicator.

Results: The regression results indicate that companies are more tax aggressive when there is an increase in political-economic uncertainty and that the supply of credit moderates this relationship.

Contributions: The evidence helps investors, tax administrations and government agents to understand the behavior regarding the tax aggressiveness of companies in the face of increased political-economic uncertainty and its implications in the credit market and thus better define the public policy.

 

Translations of this article

Author Biographies

Karina Borges de Almeida, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo - UFES

Mestre em Ciências Contábeis - UFES

Rafael de Lacerda Moreira, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo - UFES

Professor do Departamento de Ciências Contábeis da UFES

Doutor em Administração pela FGV.

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Published

2025-08-07

How to Cite

Borges de Almeida, K., & de Lacerda Moreira, R. (2025). Tax aggressiveness: the role of political-economic uncertainty and the moderating effect of the credit market in Brazilian companies listed on B³. Journal of Education and Research in Accounting (REPeC), 19. https://doi.org/10.17524/repec.v19.e3577